Risk profile descriptions - PAT Early Numeracy Screener

Early Numeracy Screener Pilot August–September 2026

This pilot study is a critical part of the development process of a PAT Early Numeracy Screener.

Student results reported for this study are provisional. Amongst other aspects, the terminology of 'risk', the labels and definitions of the risk profiles, and the calculations that determine how students are placed in those profiles are still under development and are subject to change between this pilot and the release of a final product.

Related articles:

Significantly at-risk

Students with a significantly at-risk profile are continuing to develop foundational number sense skills that are important for future numeracy learning. This profile indicates a high level of risk and suggests that these skills may not yet be sufficiently established to support future learning independently.

Use this result alongside teacher judgement and other classroom evidence. Risk profiles are screening indicators, not diagnoses. Further assessment is required to better understand students' strengths and learning needs and to inform appropriate support.

At-risk

Students with an at-risk profile have demonstrated some foundational number sense skills but may still be developing others that are important for future numeracy learning. This profile indicates an increased level of risk and suggests that some skills may not yet be fully established.

Use this result alongside teacher judgement and other classroom evidence. Risk profiles are screening indicators, not diagnoses. Further assessment is required to better understand students' strengths and learning needs and to inform appropriate support.

Not at-risk

Students with a not-at-risk profile have demonstrated foundational number sense skills that provide a strong basis for future numeracy learning. This profile suggests that these skills are generally well established at this stage of development.

Use this result alongside teacher judgement and other classroom evidence. Continue to monitor students' progress through regular classroom assessment and observation.

Was this article helpful?
0 out of 0 found this helpful

Articles in this section

ACER News
News and expert insights on educational research and developments around the world
Magazine
Promoting quality teaching and leading, assisting school improvement at a grassroots level
Podcast
Honest conversations with leading educational practitioners